Bye Bye Jobs!
"I am here for a job interview, all I need is power and i will work 24/7"A technology revolution is fast replacing human beings with machines in virtually every sector and industry in the global economy. Already, millions of workers have been permanently eliminated from the economic process, and whole work categories and job assignments have shrunk, been restructured, or disappeared. When Ford started selling the Model T in 1909, the industrialized automotive industry was born. This new industry eventually created millions of new jobs, where have the gone, nowhere, they have just been replace with robots. Global unemployment has now reached its highest level since the great depression of the 1930s. More than 800 million human beings are now unemployed or underemployed in the world. That figure is likely to rise sharply between now and the turn of the next century as millions of new entrants into the workforce find themselves without jobs.
We cannot stop the evolution of robotics, and in the not to distant future, nearly every job will not be a problem for the many thousands of purpose built machines built for the many thousand of jobs, “their will be no need to argue with the waiter, as it won’t respond to criticism, and it will be able to replay exactly what you ordered, therefore the robot who cooked you meal has only done what you ask for”.
Robots taking jobs
The conventional wisdom says that the economy will create 50 million new jobs to absorb all of the workers who are displaced from their jobs by robots. But that raises two important questions:
What will those new jobs be?
-They won't be in manufacturing -- robots will hold all the manufacturing jobs.
-They won't be in the service sector (where most new jobs are now) -- robots will work in all the restaurants, retail stores and convenience stores.
-They won't be in transportation -- robots will be driving everything.
-They won't be in: security (robotic police, robotic firefighters) the military (robotic soldiers)entertainment (robotic actors and stuntmen) medicine (robotic doctors, nurses, pharmacists, counsellors, caregivers) construction (robotic construction workers) aviation (robotic pilots, robotic air traffic controllers) office work (robotic receptionists, call centres and managers) research (robotic scientists, robotic inventors) education (robotic teachers and computer-based training) programming or engineering (outsourced to India at one-tenth the cost) farming (robotic agricultural machinery) etc., etc.
We are assuming that the economy is going to invent an entirely new category of employment that will absorb half of the working population.
Why isn't the economy inventing those new jobs now? Today there are millions of unemployed people. There are also tens of millions of people who would gladly abandon their minimum wage jobs scrubbing toilets, flipping burgers, driving trucks and shelving inventory for something better. This imaginary new category of employment does not hinge on technology -- it is going to employ people, after all, in massive numbers -- it is going to employ half of today's working population. Why don't we see any evidence of this new category of jobs today? It is something to think about...
INSIGHT
Automated retail systems like ATMs, kiosks and self-service checkout lines marked the beginning of the robotic revolution. Over the course of fifteen years starting in 2001, these systems multiplied and evolved until nearly every retail transaction could be handled in an automated way. Five million jobs in the retail sector were lost as a result of these systems.
The next step was autonomous, humanoid robots. The mechanics of walking were not simple, but Honda had proven that those problems could be solved with the creation of its ASIMO robot at the turn of the century. Sony and other manufacturers followed Honda's lead. Over the course of two decades, engineers refined this hardware and the software controlling it to the point where they could create humanoid body forms with the grace and precision of a ballerina or the mass and sheer strength of the Incredible Hulk.
Decades of research and development work on autonomous robotic intelligence finally started to pay off. By 2025, the first machines that could see, hear, move and manipulate objects at a level roughly equivalent to human beings were making their way from research labs into the marketplace. These robots could not "think" creatively like human beings, but that did not matter. Massive AI systems evolved rapidly and allowed machines to perform in ways that seemed very human.
Humanoid robots soon cost less than the average car, and prices kept falling. A typical model had two arms, two legs and the normal human-type sensors like vision, hearing and touch. Power came from small, easily recharged fuel cells. The humanoid form was preferred, as opposed to something odd like R2-D2, because a humanoid shape fit easily into an environment designed around the human body. A humanoid robot could ride an escalator, climb stairs, drive a car, and so on without any trouble.
Once the humanoid robot became a commodity item, robots began to move in and replace humans in the workplace in a significant way. The first wave of replacement began around 2030, starting with jobs in the fast food industry. Robots also filled janitorial and housekeeping positions in hotels, motels, malls, airports, amusement parks and so on.
The economics of one of these humanoid robots made the decision to buy them almost automatic. In 2030 you could buy a humanoid robot for about $10,000. That robot could clean bathrooms, take out trash, wipe down tables, mop floors, sweep parking lots, mow grass and so on. One robot replaced three eight-hour-a-day employees. The owner fired the three employees and in just four months the owner recovered the cost of the robot. The robot would last for many years and would happily work 24 hours a day. The robot also did a far better job -- for example, the bathrooms were absolutely spotless. It was impossible to pass up a deal like that, so corporations began buying armies of humanoid robots to replace human employees.
The first completely robotic fast food restaurant opened in 2031. It had some rough edges, but by 2035 the rough edges were gone and by 2040 most restaurants were completely robotic. By 2055 the robots were everywhere. The changeover was that fast. It was a startling, amazing transformation and the whole thing happened in only 25 years or so starting in 2030.
In 2055 the nation hit a big milestone -- over half of the worlds workforce was unemployed, and the number was still rising. Nearly every "normal" job that had been filled by a human being in 2001 was filled by a robot instead. At restaurants, robots did all the cooking, cleaning and order taking. At construction sites, robots did everything -- Robots poured the concrete, laid brick, built the home's frame, put in the windows and doors, sided the house, roofed it, plumbed it, wired it, hung the drywall, painted it, etc. At the airport, robots flew the planes, sold the tickets, moved the luggage, handled security, kept the building clean and managed air traffic control. At the hospital robots cared for the patients, cooked and delivered the food, cleaned everything and handled many of the administrative tasks. At the mall, stores were stocked, cleaned and clerked by robots. At the amusement park, hundreds of robots ran the rides, cleaned the park and sold the concessions. On the roads, robots drove all the cars and trucks. Companies like Fedex, UPS and the post office had huge numbers of robots instead of people sorting packages, driving trucks and making deliveries. By 2055 robots had taken over the workplace and there was no turning back.
I will be adding new stories and new job losses as I find them, I will add my views to them but there won’t be much to say as they will be self-explanatory.



























